Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| O/U 64.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Villanova O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Villanova 1H O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Villanova 1H O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Villanova 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 98% |
| Spread -16.5 | 98% |
| Spread -17.5 | 98% |
| Spread -21.5 | 98% |
| Spread -20.5 | 97% |
| Spread -24.5 | 97% |
| Spread -27.5 | 97% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 40.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 43.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 46.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 49.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 39.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 42.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 45.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 48.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 51.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 41.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 44.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 47.5 | 91% |
| Louisville O/U 50.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Villanova 2H O/U 2.5 | 91% |
| Spread -35.5 | 87% |
| Spread -33.5 | 84% |
| O/U 68.5 | 79% |
| Spread -30.5 | 68% |
| Spread -31.5 | 65% |
| Spread -34.5 | 61% |
| Spread -38.5 | 60% |
| O/U 66.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 70.5 | 55% |
| Spread -36.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| Spread -23.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Spread -8.5 | 52% |
| Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| Spread -13.5 | 52% |
| Villanova O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Villanova O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Villanova O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Villanova O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 76.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Villanova O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Isaac Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tre Richardson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lincoln Kienholz: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keyjuan Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TreyShun Hurry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brody Foley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaleel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lawayne McCoy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Ragland: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ja'briel Mace: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -37.5 | 50% |
| Villanova O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Villanova O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -39.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| Spread -42.5 | 50% |
| Spread -43.5 | 50% |
| Spread -44.5 | 50% |
| Spread -45.5 | 50% |
| Spread -46.5 | 50% |
| Spread -52.5 | 50% |
| Spread -55.5 | 50% |
| Spread -58.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Villanova 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Villanova 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -48.5 | 47% |
| Spread -51.5 | 46% |
| O/U 74.5 | 40% |
| Spread -41.5 | 37% |
| Spread -54.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Villanova vs. Louisville | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Villanova vs. Louisville. In the upcoming college football game between Villanova and Louisville, scheduled for September 11 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Villanova" if Villanova win the game. This market will res…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $91K.
Methodology
This page compares Villanova vs. Louisville specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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