Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 97% |
| O/U 39.5 | 91% |
| Wake Forest O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 83% |
| Wake Forest vs. Purdue | 82% |
| O/U 45.5 | 80% |
| Spread -2.5 | 78% |
| O/U 48.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| O/U 49.5 | 71% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 68% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 64% |
| O/U 50.5 | 63% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 51.5 | 57% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| Spread -7.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Spread -9.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Purdue O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Wake Forest O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ty Clark III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gio Lopez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kam Shanks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carlos Hernandez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deuce Lawrence: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kamrean Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jack Foley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Fame Ijeboi: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ryan Browne: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jerrick Gibson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Antonio Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| De'Nylon Morrissette: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavier Townsend: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chauncey Magwood: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Antonio Meeks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KD Daniels: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Asaad Waseem: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| George Burhenn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Drayden Dickmann: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Loerzel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jesse Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kylan Fox: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| Spread -14.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Spread -16.5 | 32% |
| Spread -17.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| O/U 63.5 | 24% |
| Spread -1.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -2.5 | 15% |
| O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -6.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wake forest vs. purdue stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and Purdue, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the gam…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $228K.
Methodology
This page compares Wake Forest vs. Purdue specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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