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Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

Which venue prices "Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 27.5 93% Spread -0.5 92% Spread -1.5 92% Spread -2.5 91% Volume: $166K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 27.593%
Spread -0.592%
Spread -1.592%
Spread -2.591%
O/U 29.590%
Spread -3.589%
Spread -4.587%
Spread -5.586%
O/U 31.585%
Spread -6.584%
O/U 33.584%
Spread -7.580%
Spread -8.579%
O/U 35.579%
Wisconsin O/U 6.579%
Notre Dame O/U 25.578%
Notre Dame O/U 26.577%
Spread -10.576%
O/U 37.575%
Spread -13.572%
Notre Dame O/U 27.572%
O/U 39.570%
2H Spread -5.568%
Spread -14.567%
2H Spread -4.567%
Wisconsin O/U 7.566%
Notre Dame O/U 28.566%
Spread -16.565%
Notre Dame O/U 29.565%
Wisconsin O/U 9.564%
O/U 41.563%
1H Spread -9.563%
2H Spread -6.563%
Notre Dame O/U 30.563%
Spread -17.562%
1H Spread -8.562%
O/U 43.560%
3Q Spread -2.560%
1Q Spread -3.560%
Spread -20.556%
1H Spread -10.556%
2Q Spread -6.556%
4Q Spread -2.556%
Notre Dame O/U 31.555%
Notre Dame O/U 32.555%
O/U 45.554%
1Q Spread -6.554%
Wisconsin O/U 10.554%
Notre Dame O/U 33.554%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.554%
2H Spread -7.553%
4Q Spread -1.553%
4Q Spread -8.553%
4Q Spread -0.553%
4Q Spread -5.552%
3Q Spread -6.552%
1H Spread -11.551%
2H Spread -8.551%
2H Spread -9.551%
1Q Spread -5.551%
1Q Spread -7.551%
1Q Moneyline51%
4Q Moneyline51%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.551%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.551%
O/U 46.551%
Wisconsin O/U 1.551%
Notre Dame O/U 4.551%
Wisconsin O/U 12.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.551%
Wisconsin O/U 1.551%
Notre Dame O/U 0.551%
Notre Dame O/U 1.551%
Notre Dame O/U 2.551%
4Q Spread -6.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.551%
Cam Williams: Anytime Touchdown51%
2H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -12.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.550%
Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.550%
Wisconsin O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin O/U 3.550%
Notre Dame O/U 3.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.550%
Spread -21.549%
1H Spread -13.549%
2Q Spread -5.549%
2Q Spread -9.549%
3Q Spread -4.549%
4Q Spread -3.549%
4Q Spread -4.549%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.549%
Notre Dame O/U 34.549%
2Q Spread -4.549%
3Q Spread -1.548%
3Q Spread -3.548%
3Q Spread -5.548%
3Q Spread -7.548%
3Q Spread -8.548%
3Q Spread -0.548%
O/U 47.546%
Wisconsin O/U 13.545%
2H Spread -10.545%
2Q Spread -7.543%
Spread -24.541%
2H Spread -11.541%
Notre Dame O/U 35.541%
O/U 49.540%
Notre Dame O/U 36.539%
Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown39%
Notre Dame O/U 37.538%
1H Spread -14.538%
1H Spread -15.536%
Spread -27.535%
O/U 51.535%
1H Spread -16.535%
Wisconsin O/U 15.534%
O/U 53.531%
Wisconsin O/U 16.531%
Notre Dame O/U 39.531%
Notre Dame O/U 38.530%
Notre Dame O/U 40.528%
O/U 55.526%
Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown26%
Spread -31.524%
Wisconsin O/U 18.524%
O/U 57.523%
Wisconsin O/U 19.523%
Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown23%
4Q Spread -7.523%
Spread -34.519%
Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown19%
Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown18%
O/U 59.517%
CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown17%
Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown17%
O/U 61.516%
Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown15%
Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown15%
Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown15%
Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown14%
O/U 63.512%
1H Moneyline12%
Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown11%
O/U 65.510%
Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame9%
O/U 67.58%
Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown8%
Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown8%
Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown8%
Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown8%
Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown8%
Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown8%
Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown7%
Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown5%
Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown4%

Market context

Market consensus: 93% chance of wisconsin vs. notre dame. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET: If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolv…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 27.5 at 93% for "Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame".

O/U 27.5 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $166K.

Methodology

We read Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Sports