Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| O/U 33.5 | 81% |
| Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| Spread -8.5 | 69% |
| Spread: Colorado State (-3.5) | 65% |
| Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| O/U 39.5 | 61% |
| Wyoming O/U 16.5 | 59% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Durell Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mel Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hauss Hejny: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Samuel Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Hughes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Markell Holman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Juice Vereen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Charlie Coenen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tommy Maher: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Mosley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lavon Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nico Hamilton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bricen Brantley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jake Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyle Frendt: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eric Richardson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Malichi Greaves: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Harper: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deion DeBlanc: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 49% |
| Wyoming O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Colorado State O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Colorado State O/U 27.5 | 43% |
| Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| O/U 45.5 | 36% |
| O/U 46.5 | 35% |
| O/U 47.5 | 31% |
| Wyoming O/U 22.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| Colorado State O/U 30.5 | 30% |
| O/U 41.5 | 28% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| O/U 49.5 | 24% |
| Wyoming vs. Colorado State | 22% |
| Wyoming O/U 27.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| O/U 51.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| O/U 57.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wyoming vs. colorado state. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 6:00PM ET: If Wyoming wins, the market will resolve to "Wyoming". If Colorado State wins, the market will resolve to "Colorado State…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $87K.
Methodology
This page compares Wyoming vs. Colorado State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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