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Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $387K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Shandong Taishan FC O/U 0.5100%
Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5100%
Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5100%
Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5100%
Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 4.590%
2nd Half O/U 0.586%
Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.570%
Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)69%
O/U 5.565%
Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.564%
2nd Half O/U 1.558%
Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 0.553%
Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)41%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half37%
Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.534%
2nd Half O/U 2.531%
Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.525%
Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 1.518%
Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)0%
Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, shandong taishan fc vs. yunnan yukun fc - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for July 10 at 7:35 AM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

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