Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% Shandong Taishan FC |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 100% Shandong Taishan FC | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% Shandong Taishan FC |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 100% Shandong Taishan FC | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
On Saturday, 27 June 2026 at 11:00 UTC, Liaoning Tieren FC faces Shandong Taishan FC at Tiexi New District Sports Center in Shenyang as part of Round 16 of the Chinese Super League. The match kicks off at 7:00 AM ET, with current crowd-implied probability for additional markets sitting at 0% YES, suggesting minimal expectation of secondary outcomes beyond the standard result.
Historical head-to-head data reveals Shandong Taishan’s dominance: they have won both prior meetings against Liaoning Tieren, scoring eight goals while conceding just one, with Liaoning failing to secure a single victory in their past encounters[2]. This stark record frames the current 0% probability as consistent with Shandong’s superiority, though bookmakers diverge significantly in presentation—Polymarket uses implied probability while Kalshi and Betfair quote decimal odds, and fee structures vary from 0% on Polymarket to 2–5% on Smarkets, alongside differing KYC requirements that affect accessibility for international traders[1][3].
Traders should monitor late squad announcements and weather conditions, as Tiexi Stadium’s open design can amplify wind impacts on play dynamics. Recent coverage on ESPN notes Shandong’s strong form (8-3-5 record) and Liaoning’s struggles (5-2-9), reinforcing the likelihood of a decisive outcome[3]. Any shift in starting lineups or injury updates could alter market expectations, particularly if Shandong’s attacking core is compromised, though current odds remain heavily skewed toward their advantage.
Methodology
This page compares Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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