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1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - More Markets

Which venue prices "1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 100% 1. FC Cologne (-1.5) 98% O/U 1.5 97% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 95% Volume: $127K Liquidity: $89K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1. FC Cologne (-1.5)98%
O/U 1.597%
2nd Half O/U 0.595%
2nd Half O/U 1.591%
1. FC Cologne 2nd Half O/U 0.590%
1. FC Cologne 2nd Half O/U 1.590%
1. FC Cologne O/U 0.588%
1. FC Cologne O/U 1.588%
1. FC Cologne O/U 2.540%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian O/U 1.530%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian O/U 2.530%
O/U 2.512%
1st Half O/U 0.510%
1st Half O/U 1.510%
1. FC Cologne 1st Half O/U 0.510%
1. FC Cologne 1st Half O/U 1.510%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian 1st Half O/U 0.510%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian 1st Half O/U 1.510%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian 2nd Half O/U 0.510%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian 2nd Half O/U 1.510%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian (-1.5)8%
O/U 3.55%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian (-2.5)1%
O/U 5.51%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian O/U 0.51%
1. FC Cologne (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - More Markets. More markets for the Club Friendlies game, scheduled for August 7 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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