Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Koper | 100% |
| NSÍ Runavík | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
NSÍ Runavík and FC Koper met in the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round, with Sky Sports listing the kick-off for Thursday 23 July 2026 at 7:45pm and match data showing Koper won 2-0 at Við Djúpumýrar.[2][3][1] A market showing **0% YES** on an event that has already been played is best read as a timing mismatch rather than a live view of team strength: on platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, and Smarkets, the same contract can display either a binary probability, a decimal price, or a bid/ask spread, but once settlement is effectively certain the remaining price should collapse towards zero unless the market has not been resolved.
Comparable form also points towards why a pre-match price would have leaned against NSÍ Runavík. FC Koper arrived with a strong domestic run and recent Conference League qualifying fixtures, while NSÍ’s comparable results in the same period were more mixed, including a 1-1 draw with Ħamrun Spartans and a 0-0 against KÍ Klaksvík.[4] For cross-platform comparison, the main differences are mechanical: Polymarket and Kalshi quote probabilities directly, Betfair and Smarkets are easier to read via back/lay prices converted into implied chance, and fees, liquidity, and KYC access differ by venue, which can leave the same football result showing different tradable levels even when the underlying consensus is similar.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $123K.
Methodology
We read NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Koper from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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