Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| FK Partizan Beograd O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FK Partizan Beograd O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Getafe CF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| FK Partizan Beograd 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FK Partizan Beograd 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Getafe CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 0% |
| FK Partizan Beograd (-1.5) | 0% |
| Getafe CF (-1.5) | 0% |
| FK Partizan Beograd (-2.5) | 0% |
| Getafe CF (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FK Partizan Beograd O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Getafe CF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Getafe CF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FK Partizan Beograd 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FK Partizan Beograd 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Getafe CF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Getafe CF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Getafe CF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FK Partizan Beograd hosted Getafe in the second leg of a UEFA Conference League qualifying tie on 27 August, with the match at Stadion Partizana in Belgrade finishing 2-1 to Partizan but 4-3 to Getafe on aggregate. The market’s 0% YES price is consistent with the game already being settled: once the scheduled 19:00 UTC kick-off passed, there was no live path left for a “More Markets” outcome before the settlement window closed.
For context, comparable European football markets tend to move sharply between pre-match and post-whistle pricing, especially on derivative or “more markets” contracts that depend on lineups, cards, corners, goals, or other in-game events. On Polymarket, the quote is usually shown as implied probability; on Betfair and Smarkets, the same view is more naturally read from decimal odds, with Smarkets typically advertising lower commission than Betfair’s standard exchange fee structure, while Kalshi-style access depends more on account eligibility and KYC than on open-exchange liquidity. That means the same underlying match can look different across venues even before fees and slippage are included.
The main catalysts were the official team sheets, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the leg itself was still live in regulatory or broadcast terms before kick-off. UEFA’s match listings confirmed the fixture and venue, and live coverage showed the game completed on 27 August with attendance and full-time outcome recorded, leaving no remaining schedule dependency for the market to resolve afterward.
Methodology
This page compares FK Partizan Beograd vs. Getafe CF - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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