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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% O/U 4.5 Games 100% Volume: $344K Liquidity: $407K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
O/U 4.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)90%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)90%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Match Winner39%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire (+9.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)10%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)10%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map 4 Winner0%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: EF (-2.5) vs 1WIN (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between 1WIN and Eternal Fire in the European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 24 at 4:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We read Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Europea… on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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