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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $209K Liquidity: $75K Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs magic (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-9.5) vs magic (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map 2 Winner49%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Match Winner38%
Map 1 Winner36%
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)34%

Market context

Market consensus: 50% chance of counter-strike: alliance vs magic (bo3) - fissure playground group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between Alliance and magic in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00 …

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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