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Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5) 100% Volume: $107K Liquidity: $732K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs LPH Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs LPH Gaming (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-12.5) vs LPH Gaming (+12.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs LPH Gaming (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs LPH Gaming (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-9.5) vs Passion Academy (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: LPH (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: PSN.A (-1.5) vs LPH Gaming (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between LPH Gaming and Passion Academy in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for July 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LPH Gaming" if…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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