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Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Volume: $175K Liquidity: $425K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-9.5) vs paiN (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-12.5) vs paiN (+12.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: pain vs big (bo3) - iem beijing: global qualifier playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between paiN and BIG in the IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This …

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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