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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Cross-platform snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 64% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 56% Ends in Daytime 51% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Volume: $248K Liquidity: $187K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?56%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Game 2 Winner46%
Match Winner38%
Game 1 Winner35%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: team falcons vs betboom team (bo2) - esports world cup group a stands at 64% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and BetBoom Team in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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