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Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Which venue prices "Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 77% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 75% First Blood in Game 1? 55% Ends in Daytime 51% Volume: $434K Liquidity: $196K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?75%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?50%
Match Winner14%
Game 2 Winner11%
Game 1 Winner8%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 77% YES probability for Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between ZEDI Esports and GamerLegion in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ZEDI Esports" i…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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