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France vs. Sweden - Exact Score

Cross-platform snapshot for "France vs. Sweden - Exact Score": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Any Other Score 25% France 2 - 0 Sweden 12% France 2 - 1 Sweden 11% France 3 - 0 Sweden 10% Volume: $381K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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France vs. Sweden - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
25% 75% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
25% 75% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score25%
France 2 - 0 Sweden12%
France 2 - 1 Sweden11%
France 3 - 0 Sweden10%
France 1 - 0 Sweden9%
France 3 - 1 Sweden9%
France 1 - 1 Sweden7%
France 2 - 2 Sweden4%
France 3 - 2 Sweden4%
France 0 - 0 Sweden3%
France 0 - 1 Sweden2%
France 1 - 2 Sweden2%
France 0 - 2 Sweden1%
France 1 - 3 Sweden1%
France 2 - 3 Sweden1%
France 3 - 3 Sweden1%
France 0 - 3 Sweden0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, france vs. sweden - exact score stands at 25% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the France vs. Sweden…

Methodology

We read France vs. Sweden - Exact Score from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

Sports