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Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props

Cross-platform snapshot for "Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals 100% Crysencio Summerville: 1+ assists 60% Cody Gakpo: 2+ shots on target 51% Cody Gakpo: 1+ shots 51% Volume: $189K Liquidity: $872K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
Open live market →
Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals100%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ assists60%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ shots on target51%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ shots51%
Noa Lang: 1+ goals + assists51%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ shots on target51%
Crysencio Summerville: 3+ shots on target51%
Guus Til: 2+ goals + assists50%
Guus Til: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ shots on target50%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ shots on target50%
Donyell Malen: 1+ shots on target50%
Donyell Malen: 2+ shots on target50%
Donyell Malen: 3+ shots on target50%
Memphis Depay: 1+ shots on target50%
Memphis Depay: 2+ shots on target50%
Memphis Depay: 3+ shots on target50%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 4+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ shots on target50%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ shots on target50%
Brian Brobbey: 3+ shots on target50%
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals + assists50%
Donyell Malen: 2+ goals + assists50%
Donyell Malen: 3+ goals + assists50%
Guus Til: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists50%
Memphis Depay: 1+ goals + assists50%
Memphis Depay: 2+ goals + assists50%
Memphis Depay: 3+ goals + assists50%
Memphis Depay: 4+ goals + assists50%
Noa Lang: 3+ goals + assists50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ goals + assists50%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ goals + assists50%
Wout Weghorst: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target50%
Guus Til: 1+ shots on target50%
Guus Til: 2+ shots on target50%
Guus Til: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target50%
Noa Lang: 2+ shots on target50%
Noa Lang: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target50%
Wout Weghorst: 3+ shots on target50%
Mark Flekken: 2+ saves50%
Mark Flekken: 3+ saves50%
Mark Flekken: 4+ saves50%
Mark Flekken: 5+ saves50%
Munir El Kajoui: 2+ saves50%
Munir El Kajoui: 3+ saves50%
Munir El Kajoui: 4+ saves50%
Munir El Kajoui: 5+ saves50%
Brian Brobbey: 4+ shots on target50%
Cody Gakpo: 4+ shots on target50%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ shots on target50%
Memphis Depay: 4+ shots on target50%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goals + assists50%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ goals + assists50%
Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goals + assists50%
Crysencio Summerville: 4+ goals + assists50%
Donyell Malen: 4+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists50%
Donyell Malen: 2+ shots49%
Guus Til: 1+ shots49%
Guus Til: 2+ shots49%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots49%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots49%
Memphis Depay: 1+ shots49%
Memphis Depay: 2+ shots49%
Noa Lang: 1+ shots49%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots49%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots49%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ shots49%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ shots49%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ shots on target49%
Brian Brobbey: 3+ shots49%
Brian Brobbey: 4+ shots49%
Brian Brobbey: 5+ shots49%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ shots49%
Cody Gakpo: 4+ shots49%
Cody Gakpo: 5+ shots49%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ shots49%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ shots49%
Crysencio Summerville: 3+ shots49%
Crysencio Summerville: 4+ shots49%
Crysencio Summerville: 5+ shots49%
Donyell Malen: 3+ shots49%
Donyell Malen: 4+ shots49%
Donyell Malen: 5+ shots49%
Guus Til: 3+ shots49%
Guus Til: 4+ shots49%
Guus Til: 5+ shots49%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots49%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots49%
Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots49%
Memphis Depay: 3+ shots49%
Memphis Depay: 4+ shots49%
Memphis Depay: 5+ shots49%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots49%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots49%
Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots49%
Wout Weghorst: 3+ shots49%
Wout Weghorst: 4+ shots49%
Wout Weghorst: 5+ shots49%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots49%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ shots49%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ shots49%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ shots49%
Noa Lang: 2+ goals + assists49%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots49%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots49%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots49%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots49%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots49%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots49%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots49%
Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots49%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target48%
Noa Lang: 1+ shots on target47%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists40%
Donyell Malen: 1+ shots16%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists13%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ assists13%
Donyell Malen: 2+ assists13%
Guus Til: 2+ assists13%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists13%
Memphis Depay: 2+ assists13%
Noa Lang: 2+ assists13%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ assists13%
Guus Til: 4+ goals + assists10%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists10%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists10%
Brian Brobbey: 4+ goals + assists10%
Donyell Malen: 4+ goals + assists10%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists10%
Noa Lang: 4+ goals + assists10%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals + assists10%
Wout Weghorst: 4+ goals + assists10%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ goals + assists2%
Noa Lang: 2+ shots1%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals1%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots1%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ assists1%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ assists1%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists0%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ assists0%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ assists0%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ assists0%
Donyell Malen: 1+ assists0%
Guus Til: 1+ assists0%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists0%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goals0%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ goals0%
Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goals0%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals0%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals0%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals0%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ goals0%
Brian Brobbey: 3+ goals0%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ goals0%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ goals0%
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals0%
Donyell Malen: 2+ goals0%
Donyell Malen: 3+ goals0%
Guus Til: 1+ goals0%
Guus Til: 2+ goals0%
Guus Til: 3+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals0%
Memphis Depay: 1+ goals0%
Memphis Depay: 2+ goals0%
Memphis Depay: 3+ goals0%
Noa Lang: 1+ goals0%
Noa Lang: 2+ goals0%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals0%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals0%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals0%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ goals0%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ goals0%
Wout Weghorst: 3+ goals0%
Memphis Depay: 1+ assists0%
Noa Lang: 1+ assists0%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ assists0%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ assists0%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals0%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals0%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals0%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of netherlands vs. morocco - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Netherlands and Morocco, scheduled for June 29 at 9:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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