Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 91% |
| FC Anyang | 3% |
| Draw | 3% |
Market context
FC Anyang and Daejeon Hana Citizen meet in a K League 1 fixture that has tended to be tight rather than one-sided. Across the recent head-to-head record, Daejeon lead the series by a narrow margin, but draws have been common and the last league meetings have included a 1-1 and a 2-1 either way, which helps explain why a **3% YES** price looks like a very low-end event rather than a routine coin flip.[1][2][16]
For platform comparison, the same view can look different on Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets because some quote **implied probability** while others show **decimal odds** that already embed margin, fees or commission. In practical terms, a 3% market on a prediction platform would correspond to roughly 33.0 decimal odds before costs, but Betfair and Smarkets users also need to factor in exchange commission, while access can vary by jurisdiction and KYC eligibility, so the same football view can have a different net value across books even when the headline price looks similar. Historical data also leans towards caution: one head-to-head set shows 33 meetings since 2014 with Daejeon winning 13, Anyang 8 and 12 draws, while another recent form snapshot shows both teams producing low-scoring results overall.[1][2][10]
The main catalysts are team news, late squad rotation and any change in the home/away balance of the fixture, because a small shift in line-ups can matter more when the market is priced this far into the tail. Recent preview data also indicates the teams entered the match with mid-table K League 1 records and modest scoring totals, so traders will be watching confirmed line-ups and final selection changes rather than broad season form alone.[4][16]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $74K.
Methodology
This page compares FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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