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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 56% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 54% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 54% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 54% Volume: $54K Liquidity: $698K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?54%
Game 1 Winner53%
Game 2 Winner53%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Match Winner52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor46%
Any Player Quadra Kill46%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?42%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 56% YES probability for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEA…

Methodology

We read LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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