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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 77% Match Winner 56% Game 1 Winner 55% Game 2 Winner 54% Volume: $134K Liquidity: $544K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?77%
Match Winner56%
Game 1 Winner55%
Game 2 Winner54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)31%

Market context

Market consensus: 77% chance of lol: furia esports vs loud (bo3) - cblol regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA E…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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