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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Which venue prices "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 3.5 Games 72% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 58% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 56% Volume: $190K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games72%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?58%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon55%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?46%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Game 2 Winner40%
Game 3 Winner40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Game 1 Winner39%
Game 4 Winner39%
O/U 4.5 Games33%
Match Winner30%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 72% YES probability for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmin…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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