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LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 100% Volume: $237K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?68%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?68%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?68%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?3%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: loud vs red canids (bo3) - cblol regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between LOUD and RED Canids in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "L…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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