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LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 86% Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 75% Game 2 Winner 66% Volume: $248K Liquidity: $350K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner86%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)75%
Game 2 Winner66%
Game 3 Winner62%
Game 4 Winner60%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
O/U 3.5 Games55%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)47%
O/U 4.5 Games22%
First Blood in Game 1?5%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinals 2 match between LOS and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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