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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 98% Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) 95% Game 2 Winner 89% Volume: $595K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner98%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)95%
Game 2 Winner89%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?24%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?24%
O/U 2.5 Games11%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lol: movistar koi vs team heretics (bo3) - lec regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI…

Methodology

We read LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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