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LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% O/U 3.5 Games 74% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $551K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
O/U 3.5 Games74%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Game 4 Winner49%
Game 1 Winner48%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 3 Winner48%
Match Winner46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?41%
First Blood in Game 4?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
O/U 4.5 Games35%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)34%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)32%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 80% YES probability for LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

We read LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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