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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 4.5 85% O/U 5.5 76% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 69% O/U 6.5 69% Volume: $315K Liquidity: $590K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 4.585%
O/U 5.576%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.569%
O/U 6.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.565%
O/U 7.557%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.554%
O/U 8.550%
NRFI48%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians46%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.538%
O/U 9.538%
Spread -1.537%
Spread -1.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
O/U 10.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
Spread -2.528%
Spread -2.526%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.523%
Spread -3.519%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.517%
Spread -3.517%
Spread -4.514%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians — current market-implied probability: 85%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 14 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 4.5 at 85% for "Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians".

O/U 4.5 85% Other 15%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $315K.

Methodology

This page compares Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports