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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners

Cross-platform snapshot for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 64% O/U 5.5 62% O/U 6.5 53% Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners 52% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.564%
O/U 5.562%
O/U 6.553%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners52%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.548%
NRFI41%
O/U 7.540%
Spread -1.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.535%
Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.523%
Spread -2.520%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.516%
Extra Innings11%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 64% YES probability for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners. In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 24 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 64% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 64% Other 36%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $76K.

Methodology

This page compares Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Sports