Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Toronto FC will host New England Revolution on 15 August 2026 at 7:30 PM ET in Major League Soccer regular-season play. The 0% implied probability on this "More Markets" contract reflects either minimal liquidity on the specific market variant or a settlement definition so narrow that traders have assigned negligible likelihood to its trigger. Polymarket's decimal-odds display and Kalshi's binary YES/NO framework will render this differently to users: a Polymarket trader seeing 1.00 decimal odds faces an immediate visual cue of near-certainty against the proposition, whilst Kalshi's interface emphasises the binary rejection. Betfair and Smarkets, by contrast, typically show fractional or decimal odds on match-related props with higher baseline liquidity, meaning this particular market variant may not yet have attracted sufficient volume to establish a meaningful price.

Historical MLS scheduling and fixture cancellations occur rarely; regular-season matches are rescheduled only under extreme circumstances such as weather or civil unrest. The August fixture window is stable, with no known labour disputes or venue conflicts affecting either franchise. Traders should monitor team injury reports and roster changes in the weeks preceding the match, as these can affect market sentiment on related props. Recent MLS coverage from outlets such as MLSSoccer.com and ESPN+ will signal any fixture amendments. Fee structures differ materially across platforms: Kalshi charges a flat 2% settlement fee, Polymarket takes 2% on winnings, whilst Betfair's commission scales with volume. For a market with minimal current activity, fee drag becomes a larger consideration relative to potential returns.

Methodology

This page compares Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?

Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?

Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.

Which platform is accessible globally?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.

Are all these platforms regulated?

No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.

Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?

Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.