Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St Johnstone FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Johnstone FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St Johnstone FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Kilmarnock FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kilmarnock FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kilmarnock FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| St Johnstone FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kilmarnock FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| St Johnstone FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Johnstone FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kilmarnock FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kilmarnock FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St Johnstone FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Kilmarnock FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| St Johnstone FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Kilmarnock FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St Johnstone FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kilmarnock FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
St Johnstone FC and Kilmarnock FC are meeting in a Scottish Premiership fixture, with this **More Markets** market settling on whether the platform’s additional propositions for the game are offered as a Yes result before the window closes. Historical head-to-head data do not point to one-sided dominance: across the longer sample, St Johnstone have a narrow edge in wins, while recent meetings have swung both ways and often stayed tight on goals.[1][16]
That mixed record helps explain why a **0% crowd-implied YES** can coexist with a live match that still has tradable uncertainty. St Johnstone and Kilmarnock have produced a fairly even H2H profile over time, but recent form signals have been uneven, with some models showing Kilmarnock arriving on a better run and recent low-scoring patterns in both teams’ matches.[2][10][14] On Polymarket, the market is read as an implied probability; on Kalshi, prices are also probability-like but fee treatment differs, while Betfair and Smarkets are better viewed through decimal odds and exchange commission, so the same “0” reading can hide different liquidity and take rates across venues.
Traders should watch line-ups, late injury news and any official team updates before the 13:00Z settlement cut-off, because “More Markets” outcomes can depend on what extra selection set the platform actually lists for this fixture. The latest public match listings show the game is live in score trackers and data feeds, but the available sources do not add a fresh squad bulletin or postponement risk, so the main catalysts are pre-match team news and market specification rather than weather or venue change.[12][18]
Methodology
This page compares St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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