Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF 3 - 0 Halmstads BK | 100% |
| Djurgardens IF 0 - 0 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 0 - 1 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1 - 0 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 0 - 2 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1 - 1 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2 - 0 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 0 - 3 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1 - 2 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2 - 1 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1 - 3 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2 - 2 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 3 - 1 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2 - 3 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 3 - 2 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 3 - 3 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Djurgardens IF will host Halmstads BK in an Allsvenskan fixture on 13 July 2026, with the settlement window closing at 17:00 UTC that same day. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score," a common catch-all structure across major prediction platforms, though Kalshi and Betfair handle unlisted outcomes differently in their settlement protocols—Kalshi typically resolves such markets to the most probable category, whilst Betfair's exchange model allows traders to back residual outcomes at negotiated odds.
Swedish Allsvenskan matches historically produce a wide distribution of scorelines, with draws and 1–1 results appearing in roughly 25–30% of fixtures. The 0% crowd-implied probability across listed outcomes suggests either that traders expect an atypical result outside the preset options or that liquidity remains thin on this specific market. Comparable Allsvenskan fixtures on Polymarket and Smarkets show decimal odds clustering around 2.0–3.5 for most common scorelines (1–0, 2–1, 1–1), with implied probabilities typically ranging 20–50% per outcome. The absence of any YES probability here indicates no single listed score has attracted meaningful backing.
Key variables affecting the match include team form in late June 2026, injury reports released in the week preceding the fixture, and any weather conditions affecting pitch conditions in Stockholm. Traders should monitor official Allsvenskan announcements for postponements, which would extend the settlement window. Fee structures differ materially: Polymarket charges 2% on winnings, Kalshi applies a flat 5% fee, whilst Betfair's exchange model operates on commission only on net profits, making fee impact significant on tighter margins.
Methodology
This page compares Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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