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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 96% Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5 85% O/U 1.5 83% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 83% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $407K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.585%
O/U 1.583%
2nd Half O/U 0.583%
1st Half O/U 0.576%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.572%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.565%
O/U 2.563%
Both Teams to Score62%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.557%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.556%
2nd Half O/U 1.552%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 0.543%
1st Half O/U 1.542%
O/U 3.540%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.537%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half34%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)30%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.530%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.528%
2nd Half O/U 2.526%
Both Teams to Score in First Half25%
O/U 4.522%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.521%
1st Half O/U 2.517%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2nd Half O/U 1.517%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)14%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 2.514%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 1.511%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)10%
O/U 5.510%
Team to Advance6%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)3%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, heart of midlothian fc vs. sk puntigamer sturm graz - more markets stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 28 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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