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Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets

Which venue prices "Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Both Teams to Score in First Half 1% Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 0.5 1% Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.5 1% PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5 1% Volume: $420K Liquidity: $726K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
1% 99% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
1% 99% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams to Score in First Half1%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.51%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half1%
2nd Half O/U 0.51%
2nd Half O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 0.51%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.51%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)0%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.50%

Market context

Qarabağ Ağdam and PFC CSKA Sofia are playing a UEFA Europa League qualifier that, in live market terms, has already priced to an essentially **0% YES** outcome on this “more markets” contract, with the settlement window running to the scheduled match time on 23 July at 16:00 UTC.[1] The game was listed as a second-round qualifier at Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, and the result recorded after play was 0-0, which matters because these “more markets” contracts typically settle on whether a designated condition is met at or by the match deadline rather than on the headline match winner.[1]

For comparison, historical or statistical framing is more useful than a single scoreline when reading a near-zero price. FootyStats’ head-to-head page for this fixture describes Qarabağ as materially stronger on goals scored, which helps explain why pre-match markets would usually lean towards a more open Qarabağ-driven contest rather than a low-event draw.[2] On Polymarket, that expectation is shown as a crowd-implied probability; on Kalshi or Betfair it would usually be translated into decimal odds or exchange prices, while Smarkets would show a similar exchange-style price but with different fee treatment and, in practice, different KYC and regional access rules across platforms.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page compares Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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