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Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë - More Markets

Which venue prices "Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $182K Liquidity: $3K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5100%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Team to Advance75%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)0%
Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)0%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.50%
Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Shamrock Rovers host KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League qualifying tie, with the match listed for 6 August at Tallaght Stadium and market attention focused on the ancillary outcomes rather than the winner line. BBC and other fixture trackers show both sides arriving after recent European qualifying games, while Sports Mole notes Shamrock were eliminated from Champions League qualifying by Ararat-Armenia and Egnatia exited on penalties against Celje, which helps explain why a “more markets” contract can trade very differently from the main match price.[1][2][3]

For a 100% crowd-implied “YES”, the comparison with bookmakers matters. On Kalshi, equivalent event markets are generally displayed as implied probabilities, whereas Polymarket and Betfair-style books are easier to read as decimal or exchange prices, and Smarkets’ exchange model typically charges commission rather than embedding a wider spread. In this fixture, live price boards have already shown Shamrock as a modest favourite on the 1X2, but that does not fully capture extra markets such as cards, corners, both teams to score, or first-half outcomes, where trader assumptions can diverge from the headline match odds.[6][9][14]

Catalysts are mostly administrative rather than tactical: confirmed line-ups, late injury or suspension news, and any change to the scheduled kick-off or venue. UEFA’s match listing and live fixture pages confirm the game and second-leg sequence, so the main risk to a 100% settlement outcome is not uncertainty over whether the tie exists, but whether the “more markets” basket is broad enough to include the specific market set offered by the venue or platform at settlement.[5][10][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We read Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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