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Slovenia vs. Scotland - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Slovenia vs. Scotland - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 90% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 73% Slovenia O/U 0.5 68% Scotland O/U 0.5 68% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Slovenia vs. Scotland - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
2nd Half O/U 0.573%
Slovenia O/U 0.568%
Scotland O/U 0.568%
O/U 1.566%
1st Half O/U 0.563%
Slovenia 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Scotland 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Scotland 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Scotland (-5.5)50%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
Slovenia 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Scotland 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Scotland 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Slovenia 1st Half O/U 2.549%
Slovenia 2nd Half O/U 2.549%
Both Teams to Score48%
Scotland 1st Half O/U 2.548%
Scotland 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Slovenia 1st Half O/U 3.546%
Slovenia O/U 5.545%
Scotland O/U 5.545%
Scotland O/U 4.543%
Slovenia 1st Half O/U 0.540%
Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.539%
O/U 2.538%
Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.538%
Slovenia 1st Half O/U 1.537%
Slovenia O/U 4.537%
1st Half O/U 4.536%
2nd Half O/U 1.535%
Scotland O/U 1.531%
Slovenia O/U 1.530%
1st Half O/U 1.526%
O/U 3.518%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half15%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
Slovenia (-1.5)13%
Scotland (-1.5)13%
2nd Half O/U 2.511%
Slovenia O/U 2.510%
Scotland O/U 2.510%
Slovenia 2nd Half O/U 1.510%
Scotland (-4.5)9%
Slovenia (-5.5)9%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Slovenia (-4.5)8%
O/U 4.57%
Slovenia (-2.5)4%
Scotland (-2.5)4%
O/U 5.53%
1st Half O/U 3.52%
Slovenia O/U 3.52%
Scotland O/U 3.52%
Slovenia (-3.5)1%
Scotland (-3.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Slovenia vs. Scotland - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 13% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T13:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page compares Slovenia vs. Scotland - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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