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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 82% Match Winner 69% Map 2 Winner 65% Map 1 Winner 62% Volume: $211K Liquidity: $356K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.582%
Match Winner69%
Map 2 Winner65%
Map 1 Winner62%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)52%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)49%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)48%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs T1 (+3.5)44%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)41%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.540%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.534%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.528%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: 100 thieves vs t1 (bo3) - vct champions group a stands at 82% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and T1 in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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