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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Which venue prices "Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) 100% Volume: $277K Liquidity: $5.5M Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

The Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Eternal Fire and GIANTX in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Etern…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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