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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Which venue prices "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $499K Liquidity: $498K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.573%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)48%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)10%
O/U 2.5 Games4%
Map 2 Winner2%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: furia esports vs nrg (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between FURIA Esports and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 24 at 5:00PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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