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Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 64% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 57% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 54% Map 1 Winner 50% Volume: $105K Liquidity: $317K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.564%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.557%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.554%
Map 1 Winner50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 2 Winner48%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Match Winner46%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FULL SENSE (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)44%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FULL SENSE (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)42%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.541%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FULL SENSE (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)41%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.541%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.541%
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)28%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 64% probability to valorant: global esports vs full sense (bo3) - vct pacific group alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Global Esports and FULL SENSE in the VCT Pacific Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 23 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Global Esport…

Methodology

We read Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT P… on Robinhood Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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