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Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-6.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+6.5) 100% Volume: $257K Liquidity: $321K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-6.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-7.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-5.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)49%
Map 2 Winner16%
Match Winner11%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-8.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+8.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Rex Regum Qeon and EDward Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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