Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of itf koksijde: tatiana pieri vs barbora palicova. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Tatiana Pieri and Barbora Palicova in the ITF Women Koksijde, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will…
Methodology
This page compares ITF Koksijde: Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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