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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 53% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Volume: $123K Liquidity: $499K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Game 1 Winner44%
Game 2 Winner44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Match Winner40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?36%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)33%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor21%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor21%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors15%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors15%

Market context

The LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 26 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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