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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game 2 Winner 100% Game 3 Winner 100% Game 4 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Volume: $462K Liquidity: $786K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
Game 4 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon55%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Odd/Even Total Kills45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Odd/Even Total Kills45%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
First Blood in Game 3?1%
First Blood in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: CFO (-2.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+2.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: ctbc flying oyster vs ground zero gaming (bo5) - lcp group stage stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

We read LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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