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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Which venue prices "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Volume: $261K Liquidity: $774K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)49%
O/U 4.5 Games46%
Game 4 Winner45%
Match Winner28%
Game 3 Winner13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: GAM (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: deep cross gaming vs gam esports (bo5) - lcp group stage stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between Deep Cross Gaming and GAM Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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