🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 67% O/U 3.5 Games 59% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? 58% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 57% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $829K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
Open live market →
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)67%
O/U 3.5 Games59%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?58%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?41%
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)39%
Game 4 Winner38%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?38%
Game 1 Winner28%
Game 2 Winner27%
Game 3 Winner27%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Match Winner18%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: furia esports vs cloud9 (bo5) - worlds play-in stands at 67% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and Cloud9 in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In on Robinhood Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →