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LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 66% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 65% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $534K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?66%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?65%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?52%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Game 1 Winner44%
Game 2 Winner44%
Match Winner42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?37%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)34%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor23%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor23%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)21%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors19%

Market context

The LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 71% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match agains…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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