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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Which venue prices "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Match Winner 91% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $590K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Match Winner91%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: vivo keyd stars vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - cblol regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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