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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

Which venue prices "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

New York Yankees O/U 1.5 75% Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 60% New York Yankees O/U 2.5 60% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
New York Yankees O/U 1.575%
Boston Red Sox O/U 1.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.560%
New York Yankees O/U 2.560%
O/U 5.556%
Boston Red Sox O/U 2.554%
O/U 6.547%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees45%
New York Yankees O/U 3.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.543%
NRFI39%
Boston Red Sox O/U 3.539%
New York Yankees O/U 5.538%
Spread -1.536%
Boston Red Sox O/U 5.536%
O/U 7.535%
Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.531%
New York Yankees O/U 4.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.529%
Boston Red Sox O/U 4.528%
Spread -2.525%
Spread -2.522%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.520%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.513%
Extra Innings12%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of boston red sox vs. new york yankees. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 29 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red S…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices New York Yankees O/U 1.5 at 75% for "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees".

New York Yankees O/U 1.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $65K.

Methodology

This page compares Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Sports