Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| Extra Innings | 90% |
| NRFI | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 1 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.4M.
Methodology
We read Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees on Robinhood Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →