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Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

NRFI 100% Spread -1.5 54% O/U 10.5 52% O/U 8.5 51% Volume: $312K Liquidity: $491K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
Spread -1.554%
O/U 10.552%
O/U 8.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 7.550%
O/U 5.549%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.546%
O/U 6.540%
Spread -2.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.537%
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets22%
O/U 9.514%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.514%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of kansas city royals vs. new york mets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and New York Mets, scheduled for July 8 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City R…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $312K.

Methodology

This page compares Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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