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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Which venue prices "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 82% Seattle Mariners O/U 2.5 77% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% Seattle Mariners O/U 3.5 69% Volume: $274K Liquidity: $30K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.582%
Seattle Mariners O/U 2.577%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.573%
Seattle Mariners O/U 3.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.566%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 3.565%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 2.563%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.561%
Seattle Mariners O/U 4.560%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.559%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 4.558%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.556%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.556%
Seattle Mariners O/U 5.556%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 5.555%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.554%
Seattle Mariners O/U 6.553%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 6.547%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners41%
Spread -1.537%
O/U 7.534%
O/U 8.531%
Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -2.518%
NRFI0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 26 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 at 82% for "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners".

Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 82% Other 18%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $274K.

Methodology

This page compares Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports